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Sunday, December 29, 2013

NFL Week 17 Cash-In: Miami vs. New York

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NFL Week 17 Cash-In
Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets
Line: Miami -5.5, O/U: 41.5

The Match-Up:
The Miami Dolphins have a chance to lock up the final wild card berth in the AFC this weekend as they play host to division rival New York Jets. There is a ton at stake for both teams. For Miami its obvious, win and you could get in. Granted, they need San Diego to also win or Baltimore to lose, but first and foremost they need to take care of their own business. They failed to do so last week laying a major egg at Buffalo. For the Jets this has the potential to be the final game at the helm for head coach Rex Ryan. The whispers are out there, lose and hes out, win and well, I guess we will wait and see. Either way this has the potential to be the end of a very entertaining era in New York.

Trends:
Miami won the previous meeting 23-3 in New York December 1st.
New York is 1-6 SU, 2-4-1 ATS on the road this season.
Miami is 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS at home this season.
Five of the last six meetings played UNDER the total.
Jets are 12-3 ATS at Miami since 1998.
UNDER is 9-1 past 10 Miami divisional games.
Dolphins OVER is 11-2 past 13 Week 17 games.

The Verdict:
The Dolphins flat out flopped last week in their first chance to lock up a playoff berth. They are a much different team at home in the Miami heat. We expect them to show up to play in this one. Cameron Wake and company will be introducing themselves to Geno Smith early and often making it difficult to muster up any type of offense. In the end, Ryan Tannehill will show why he is worthy of consideration for most improved player of 2013 and the Dolphins will roll to a 10+ point victory.

Pick: MIAMI -5.5

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