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Saturday, December 7, 2013

NFL Week 14 Cash-In: Miami at Pittsburgh

Wild on Sports
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NFL Week 14 Cash-In
Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Line: Pittsburgh -3.5, O/U: 40

The Match-Up
The 6-6 Miami Dolphins head to Pittsburgh to take on the 5-7 Steelers. There are big tie playoff implications on the line in this one. A loss last week really hurt the Steelers chances. A loss this week will officially but them to rest. The Dolphins are coming off a big divisional win against the Jets last week that has put them in the drivers seat for the final wild card position. They will face a tough test going into the elements up in Pittsburgh this week. Traditionally the Dolphins have not been a very good team in cold weather situations. They are going to need a big game out of their lines on both sides of the ball. The offensive line has been in shambles all season but stepped up in a big way last week. The Steelers pass rush isn't what it was a few years ago but they can still get after the QB from time to time. Protecting Tannehill is the top priority for offensive success for the Dolphins.

The Steelers come into the game with wins in three of their last four games and lost a heart breaking divisional game to the Ravens last week. They have gotten back to Steelers football, pounding the ball on the ground and playing tough defense. This week they will need to do more of the same. They have been very good at home lately winning their last three home contests.

Trends
Miami is 7-1 SU and ATS in the past eight games as dogs
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Miami's last 22 games on the road.
Pittsburgh has won the past five meeting between the teams.

The Verdict
We are bucking the trends and going with the team that truly needs the game more. Pittsburgh is out of it whether they like it or not. Miami is still very much alive and a win here puts them in the drivers seat for the final AFC playoff spot. Factor in they are getting more than a field goal and you have yourself a nice little play.

PICK: MIAMI +3.5

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