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Sunday, December 1, 2013

NFL Week 13 Cash-In: Denver vs. Kansas City

Wild on Sports
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NFL Week 13 Cash-In
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Denver -6.5, O/U: 50

The Match-Up:

A lot has happened since these two teams meet a couple of weeks ago. Denver is coming off an emotional overtime loss in the Brady-Manning bowl which saw them blow a 24 point first half lead. Kansas City has now lost two straight divisional games (Denver & San Diego) and find themselves tied for the top of the AFC West and need the win against Denver to help propel them to a bye and home field vs. playing in the wild card round. Kansas City comes into the game with the injury questions on defense, namely the defensive line. This is very concerning given the need to disrupt Peyton Manning to be effective. 

The two teams played back on November 17th with the Broncos coming away with a 27-17 victory, covering a 7.5 point spread.

Trends:

UNDER is 5-0-1 past six meetings
Broncos won nine straight divisional games SU
Chiefs 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS past nine divisional games
Chiefs 0-3 ATS past three home games

The Verdict:

The Broncos, particularly Peyton Manning, are going to be very motivate to come in and show that they are the kings of the division. They saw last week how important it will be to lock up home field and the #1 seed so any match-up with the Patriots in the future will be at Mile High, not Foxborough.They are simply better suited to bounce back and end their losing streak than the Chiefs at this point. Denver already showed what they can do against the KC defense and that was when they were at 100%. Expect more of the same.

Pick: DENVER -6.5

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