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Saturday, December 7, 2013

NCAA Cash-In: SEC Championship

Wild on Sports
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NCAA Cash-In: SEC Championship
Auburn Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers
Line: Missouri -1.5, O/U: 59.5

The Match-Up:
A pair of Tigers will meet in this years SEC Championship game. The Auburn Tigers come into the game off of one of the biggest victories in the history of this storied program in the Iron Bowl against then undefeated and #1 ranked Alabama. The highlights of the final play of that game have been run on a loop nation wide all week as they returned a missed field goal 100+ yards for a touchdown in the final second of the game. They will look to carry that emotional high into this week's game against a very tough Missouri team.

Missouri has been a bit of a head scratcher this year. It is just their second season in the SEC and last year served as a rude awakening to what SEC football was all about. This year has been a completely different story as they have taken the SEC East by storm and a 11-1 record. The tricky thing when trying to handicap Missouri is their lack of play against the elite SEC talent. Their lone loss was to South Carolina. They did not play Alabama, Auburn or LSU. It remains to be seen what they can do against that type of talent.

Trends:
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on fieldturf.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
SEC teams are 2-13 in their last 15 the week after playing Alabama.

The Verdict:
Top to bottom Auburn is the deeper, more athletic team. They have shown they can beat the big boys. The only question is whether there is any kind of hangover from the emotional week following that win. For Missouri to keep it close they are going to have to protect QB James Franklin. He has the receivers to be dangerous but needs the time and protection t find them. At the end of the day, Auburn is just the better team.

PICK: AUBURN +1.5

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