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Saturday, December 7, 2013

NCAA Cash-In: PAC 12 Championship

Wild on Sports
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NCAA Cash-In: PAC 12 Championship
Arizona St. Sun Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal
Line: Arizona St. -3, O/U: 56

The Match-Up
The battle for the right to go to the Rose Bowl! The #7 Stanford Cardinal head to the desert to take on the #11 Arizona St. Sun Devils. The two teams played mid season at Stanford with the Cardinal rolling to a 42-28 victory. This time around it should be a little closer however. Arizona St. is a perfect 7-0 at home this season. They are coming into the game on a seven game winning streak including a blow out win against rival Arizona last week.

Stanford has had a tough road to get back to the PAC 12 title game in recent weeks. After knocking off then #2 Oregon they suffered a let down loss on the road against USC before wins over Cal and a nail bitter last week against Notre Dame. They come into the game with a smothering defense an run first style of attack on offense. Controling the clock and not getting into shootouts is the name of the game for the Cardinal. They are not designed to need to go out and score 30+ through the air. If it turns into that type of game they could be in trouble. If it is a clock control grind it out type of game that highly favors Stanford.

Trends:
Stanford is 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS in the last three meetings.
Stanford is 4-0 ATS in its last four December games.
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games
The favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
The OVER is 6-2 in ASU's last eight home games and 7-3 in ASU's last 10 conference games.
The UNDER is 8-3 in Stanford's last 11 road games.

The Verdict:
Arizona St is the sexy, flashy pick but I'm just not convinced they can get it done against a true tough defense. Defense was the difference the last time these two met. Granted, that was back in September, but still notable. It won't be the blowout it was last time as the Sun Devils are tough at home. That said, we like the Cardinal to control the clock and control the game.

PICK: STANFORD +3

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