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Thursday, November 28, 2013

Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta: NCAA-F

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Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta
From all of us here at Wild on Sports we wish you and yours a very Happy Thanksgiving. We are very thankful for all the loyal readers that we have and as a thank you we bring to your our Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta. We are covering our bases for Thursday with a pick in each of the three most active betting sports of the season. Nothing like bringing in a little extra coin to kick off the holiday season. Next on the agenda, our NCAA Football pick. Good luck everyone, and as always please play responsibly.
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NCAA Cash-In Thursday
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Texas Longhorns
Line: Texas -5, O/U: 67

The Match-Up

The ice cold Texas Tech Red Raiders head to Austin to take on the resurging Longhorns. The game for Texas has major implications as they are still in contention for a Big 12 title despite the bad loss last week to Oklahoma St. Case McCoy will get the nod again at QB but he will be without the services of star RB Jonnathan Gray. Gray suffered a season ending knee injury two weeks ago. Without Gray in the mix Malcolm Brown will be relied upon heavily in this one. 

For Texas Tech the season can't end soon enough. After getting off to a fantastic start the wheels have completely fallen off losing four straight. They have given up an average of 50.5 points per game over that stretch. The biggest issue has been the revolving door at QB. Both Davis Webb and Baker Mayfield have been very turnover prone, putting an already week defense in short yardage positions. They must protect the football this week if they want the losing streak to stop at four. Coach Kingsbury has yet to name a starter at QB for the game, saying that all three are available and all three in consideration. Not exactly a vote of confidence.

Trends:

Last year was a 31-22 road win by the Longhorns as 6.5-point dogs.
Texas Tech is 0-4 SU and against the spread in its last four games.
The OVER is 7-0 in Texas Tech’s last seven games
The UNDER is 4-1 in Texas’ last five games

The Verdict:

This game really is a must win for both Mac Brown and his teams Big 12 hopes. The early season rumblings that Brown could get run out of town have restarted following last week's loss. A loss to Tech would only intensify those rumbles especially going into a game against Baylor that very few people expect them to even keep close. The difference in this one could be on the defensive side of the ball. Texas has lost a few big bodies but still give up just just 26 points per game, which is actually a fairly impressive number in a scoring happy conference. Texas Tech is a mess right now. They can score, but they also give up a ton of points. Texas just needs this one more. Hook'em horns!

Pick: TEXAS -5

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