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Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta: NFL

Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta

From all of us here at Wild on Sports we wish you and yours a very Happy Thanksgiving. We are very thankful for all the loyal readers that we have and as a thank you we bring to your our Wild on Sports Thanksgiving Trifecta. We are covering our bases for Thursday with a pick in each of the three most active betting sports of the season. Nothing like bringing in a little extra coin to kick off the holiday season. First on the agenda, our NFL pick. Good luck everyone, and as always please play responsibly.

NFL Thursday Cash-In
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
Line: Baltimore -2.5, O/U: 41

The Match-Up:

The 5-6 Pittsburgh Steelers head to Baltimore for a Thanksgiving day date with its fiercest of rivals, the 5-6 Ravens. While the teams both enter with identical records their paths have been quite different. The Ravens got out of the gate with wins in two of their first three games. After swapping wins and losses over the next two they went cold on streak that saw them lose 3 of for road games. They have been back on the winning track as of late with wins in two out of their last three, both of which were at home.

The Steelers got off to a god awful start losing four straight to start the year. After a pair of wins and losses they seem to have started to turn things around with three straight victories. They have gotten back to their bread and butter of past Steelers successes -- pound the ball on the ground and play stingy defense.

The game marks the second time these two teams will have met. The Steelers won a 19-16 closely contested game at home back on October 20th. A lot has change since then but one thing remains the same; these two team hate each other and always play each other tough.


Nine of the last 11 regular-season meetings between the clubs have been decided by a field goal.
The Steelers have won five of those games, with the Ravens winning four.
The Ravens are 4-1 against the spread at home this season.
The UNDER is 7-4 in Pittsburgh games and 7-3-1 in Baltimore contests in 2013.

The Verdict:

The Ravens are 4-1 ATS at home this season, but the Steelers are on their best run of the season, having won and covered their last three games. The trend that really stands out is the 9 of 11 games by a field goal or less. That indicates a very close match-up and gives a little lean to the dog. On top of that, Pittsburgh has made a complete 180 since being embarrassed by the Patriots four weeks ago. Perhaps the light bulb went off in coach Mike Tomlin's head that Steelers football is ground and pound not air it out some 55+% of the time. Its going to be tough to get it done on the road but we like Pittsburgh to win outright.



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