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Sunday, November 17, 2013

NFL Week 11 Cash-In: Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

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NFL Week 11 Cash-In
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Tampa Bay -1.5, O/U: 44.5

The Match-Up

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers fresh off their first win of the season last week against the Miami Dolphins will will play host to the struggling Atlanta Falcons. Tampa Bay used its athletic defense last week to man handle the Dolphins offensive line and sack QB Ryan Tannehill repeatedly. They will need that defense to lead the way again this week against a much better offensive line. On the offensive side of the ball they are now on their third string running back. Brian Leonard was strong in relief last week and will get the bulk of the carries today against Atlanta.

The Falcons come into the game really struggling. They have lost three in a row and six of their last seven. The lone win in that stretch was back on October 20th against the Bucs. At just 2-7, this is the worst Falcons team that we have seen in the Matt Ryan era. He has lost a lot of weapons this season due to injury. It looks like both Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White will play which is very good news for Falcons fans.

Trends

The favorite 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 meetings.
The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 meetings.
Atlanta: 10-1 ATS in road games after being outgained by 200 or more total yds in their previous game.
Tampa Bay: TAMPA BAY is 8-1 OVER off 2 or more consecutive overs.

The Verdict:

OK, Atlanta is banged up and having a rough go of it but are line makers serious here? The Tampa Bay Buccaneers area bad football team. They caught Miami at the right time last week and still barely pulled off the victory. The wrong team is favored here. The pick depends on the odds you can get but if you but into the fact that the Falcons will win the game, play the moneyline. If that's not available to you take the points.

PICK: ATLANTA +1.5


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