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Saturday, November 16, 2013

NCAA Week 12 Cash-In: Michigan vs. Northwestern

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NCAA Week 12 Cash-In
Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Line: Northwestern -2.5, O/U: 49.5

The Match-Up

What a roller coaster season it has been for Northwestern. They stared the year with four straight wins and climbed as high as #15 in the National Rankings. They gave undefeated Ohio State their biggest scare of the season. Including the Ohio State game they have now lost five in a row and have gone from the top of the Big 12 to bottom feeders. Their sour turn got a little cherry on top last week when they our played Nebraska only to get beat by a 60-yard hailmary in the closing seconds. When it rains it pour and boy is it pouring right now on the Wildcats.

Michigan is starting to fall into a similar trend. After winning their first five games, including a big victory over rival Notre Dame, the Wolverines have since lost three of their last four, including a loss last week to Nebraska.

Trends

Michigan is 0-3 ATS on the road this season
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams.
Michigan is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings between the teams.

The Verdict

The Michigan offense is really struggling. As inconsistent as Northwestern has been lately, one thing has held constant and that is the ability to force turnovers on defense. Northwestern has gotten a little unlucky lately. They have lost by a touchdown or less in each of the last three games, and of course we know how last week ended. In a battle of two teams going in the wrong direction, we're going to take the home favorite.

PICK: NORTHWESTERN -2.5
The Michigan Wolverines are 4-5 against the spread this season, and as an underdog, the Wolverines are 0-1 against the number.  On the road this season, the Wolverines are 0-3 ATS, and when playing inside the Big Ten, Michigan is 2-3 against the spread on the year.
The Wildcats are just 3-6 against the spread this season, and at home, the Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS.  When playing inside the Big Ten, Northwestern is also just 1-4 against the spread this season.

Read more at http://sportschatplace.com/cfb-picks/2013/11/16/northwestern-wildcats-vs-michigan-wolverines-pick-odds-prediction#0zoW88z4SzsmfYoQ.99
The Michigan Wolverines are 4-5 against the spread this season, and as an underdog, the Wolverines are 0-1 against the number.  On the road this season, the Wolverines are 0-3 ATS, and when playing inside the Big Ten, Michigan is 2-3 against the spread on the year.
The Wildcats are just 3-6 against the spread this season, and at home, the Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS.  When playing inside the Big Ten, Northwestern is also just 1-4 against the spread this season.

Read more at http://sportschatplace.com/cfb-picks/2013/11/16/northwestern-wildcats-vs-michigan-wolverines-pick-odds-prediction#0zoW88z4SzsmfYoQ.99

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