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Thursday, November 7, 2013

NCAA Cash-In Thursday: Baylor vs. Oklahoma

Wild on Sports
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NCAA Cash-In Thursday
#6 Baylor Bears vs. #10 Oklahoma Sooners
Line: Baylor -16.5, O/U: 73.5

The Match-Up

The first of many huge match-ups this week in college football gives us the undefeated 6th ranked Baylor Bears host the 10th ranked Oklahoma Sooners in a pivotal Big-12 showdown. The Bears boast the #1 ranked offense in football averaging 63.9 points per game. They have dismantled every opponent in their path thus far but they will face their first real test of the season this week in Oklahoma.

The Sooners aren't the same BCS powerhouse that they have been in past years but could hold the secret to at least slowing the high flying Baylor offense. The Oklahoma secondary, led by senior Aaron Colvin is as formidable as any that the Bears will face all season. The Sooners have given up just 18.8 points per game, good for 2nd in the conference (behind #1 Baylor).

Interesting Trends:

Oklahoma has won 15 of the last 16 match-up vs. Baylor.
Oklahoma has been a double digit dog just one other time in the last 15 seasons.
Baylor is 6-1 ATS this season and 13-3 ATS vs. Big 12 opponents in the last 16 games.

The Verdict:

Baylor needs the game for its BCS hopes but the Sooners are no slouch. Sure they aren't the team that has contended for championships in the past but Bob Stoops knows how to prepare his team for big games. Also of note, the Sooners knocked off the Bears 43-34 last season. It is going to be strength vs strength as the #1 offense in the country takes on the #9 ranked pass defense. I think the Sooners keep this one close but eventually give way to a Sooners win. Given that logic, we like two plays in this one.

The Pick: Oklahoma +16.5 & Under 73.5

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