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Sunday, December 30, 2012

Week 17 NFL Sunday Cash-In

A look at the games you should be playing this weekend! Good luck everyone!

Last Week: 3-0-1
Click Here for Week 16's Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 vs. Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville gave New England quite the scare last week and had a chance to tie the game on the final play but were intercepted in the end-zone. The two teams played a month ago with the Jaguars taking it 24-19. Tennessee is coming off a shellacking last week to Green Bay and clearly are coming into this one with their tails between their legs. Jacksonville is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against Tennessee and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Titans are just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the AFC South and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 (5-10 on the season).
Pick:  JAGUARS +5.5 LOSS

Miami Dolphins +11 at New England Patriots
As we just mentioned, the 2-13 Jaguars gave the Patriots a scare last week. Tom Brady and company will likely play most of the game, but don't be surprised if Cameron Wake and the Dolphins front 7 start to harass Brady a bit if he gets a breather at some point in the second half. The Dolphins have won convincingly in their last two and played the Patriots tough three weeks ago. The Pats need the game for playoff positioning and most likely will win, but expect the Fins to play them tough and keep it within a touchdown. For those looking for stats: Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in December, 12-5 ATS last 17 vs. AFC and 19-9-1 ATS last 29 road games.

Indianapolis Colts +7 vs. Houston Texans 
Indy played them tough two weeks ago and has a chance to play major spoilers to Houston's bye and home field hopes this week. The Texans have looked very vulnerable lately and could not get anything going against a mediocre Minnesota defense last weekend. Many believe they are not the same team since New England exploited them and dispelled them as "the best overall team on both sides of the ball." The home team has won the last 5 meetings in this series. The Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 in December (only loss was two weeks ago to the same Texans). This has all the makings of a statement game for the Colts. We'll gladly take the points.
Pick: COLTS +7  WIN

Seattle Seahawks vs. St.Louis Rams O/U 42
Seattle would have covered this number by themselves the past 3 weeks. They are playing for playoff positioning so won't likely call off the dogs in this one. St. Louis, while they are unlikely to win the game, has shown that they can score as well. 6 of St. Louis' last 9 games have gone over. Seattle has gone over in 5 in a row and 7 of their last 8. All you need here is 30-13. I like our chances.


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