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Thursday, December 27, 2012

NCAA Thursday Night Cash-In

Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3, 8-4 ATS) -9.5 vs. Duke Blue Devils (6-6, 6-6 ATS)

Duke is playing in a bowl game for the first time in 18 years and has not won a bowl game since 1961. Cincinnati has made bowl appearances in 5 of the last 6 years.  Cincinnati averaged 31.0 points per game while giving up 17.2. Duke averaged 31.0 while giving up 35.0. Duke comes into the game on a 4 game losing streak.  Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 5. Duke went 2-6 ATS as an underdog this season. Cincinnati is 17-3 straight-up and 12-7-1 ATS in its last 20 games as a favorite.

Based on all of this, signs point to Cincinnati as a big favorite.  The line opened as high as -11 on some sites but the money has been coming in heavy for Duke since Bearcat's coach Butch Jones left for Tennessee. I don't think the coach is going to matter in this one. If you can get them in single digits you should feel very comfortable.
Pick: Cincinnati -9.5  WIN


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